"Bitcoin Soon to $ 400,000" - Says Guggenheim Investment Chief

Insane Bitcoin Prediction – Guggenheim Partners is clearly bullish on Bitcoin. After taking a 10% stake – roughly $ 50 million – in Grayscale’s Bitcoin fund, Scott Minerd, its chief investment officer, stunned Bloomberg presenters by predicting a $ 400,000 Bitcoin.

A careful analysis

This staggering price would be derived from fundamental Guggenheim analyzes. According to Minerd, 2 metrics were taken into account to determine this price: the scarcity of the asset and its relative value compared to the ounce of gold. This is what Miner told Bloomberg.

“Our fundamental work shows that Bitcoin should be worth about $400,000,” Minerd told Bloomberg Television on Wednesday. “It’s based on the scarcity and relative valuation such as things like gold as a percentage of GDP. So you know, Bitcoin actually has a lot of the attributes of gold and at the same time has an unusual value in terms of transactions.”

“Our fundamental work shows that Bitcoin should be worth about $400,000,” says Guggenheim’s Scott Minerd https://t.co/9QyOWyYAVA pic.twitter.com/uojQqaKPia
— Bloomberg TV (@BloombergTV) December 16, 2020

A fundamental model based on scarcity and similarities to gold? This is strongly reminiscent of analyst PlanB’s Stock-to-Flow model.

Chart update: #bitcoin S2F (time series only) model. BTC price (red dots) moves nicely towards model line (white line), just like 2017 and 2013. And .. do I see a little orange?? pic.twitter.com/R7SGmpHAiU
— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) December 15, 2020

To put it simply, remember that this model values an asset according to its production. This same model predicts a continued appreciation of Bitcoin following halvings to arrive at monumental values.

This appetizing statement is obviously to be taken with a grain of salt (like all the others for that matter), since it comes in full ATH and comes from an actor already (strongly) positioned on Bitcoin.

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